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2025/06/20 第542期 訂閱/退訂看歷史報份
 
 
紐時周報精選 Consumers Are Cutting Back on Snacks, Flights and Even Laundry 美國消費者正減少吃零食、搭飛機甚至洗衣服
Defense Wins Championships. Is That Still True? 防守能拿NBA總冠軍的道理 仍管用?
紐時周報精選
 
Consumers Are Cutting Back on Snacks, Flights and Even Laundry 美國消費者正減少吃零食、搭飛機甚至洗衣服
文/Julie Creswell and Danielle
譯/羅方妤

美國消費者正減少吃零食、搭飛機甚至洗衣服

Consumers, worried about the economy, are pulling back on their spending, and that anxiety is translating into lower sales and profits for some of the country’s largest consumer-oriented companies.

面對經濟前景的不確定性,愈來愈多消費者開始縮減支出。這樣的焦慮情緒,已經反映在多家美國大型消費品牌的銷售與獲利數據上。

On Thursday, PepsiCo Inc. cut its full-year guidance outlook, citing a reduction in consumer spending as well as the impact the beverage and snacks company is feeling from increased global tariffs.

百事公司周四下修全年財測,理由是消費者支出減少,加上全球關稅上升帶來的壓力,對這家飲料與零食大廠造成衝擊。

“Relative to where we were three months ago, we probably aren’t feeling as good about the consumer now,” Jamie Caulfield, chief financial officer of PepsiCo, told Wall Street analysts and investors on an earnings call Thursday morning.

「與三個月前相比,我們對消費者的信心明顯下降,」百事公司財務長考菲爾德在周四早上的財報電話會議中對分析師與投資人表示。

The company, which manufactures Pepsi and Gatorade drinks as well as popular snacks such as Doritos and Cheetos, cut its profit forecast for the full year to flat from its earlier guidance that expected earnings growth to be in the mid-single digits. It reported a decline of 1.8% in revenue, to $17.9 billion, for the quarter ending March 22, and a drop of 10% in net income, to $1.8 billion, from the same period a year ago.

這家公司旗下生產百事可樂、開特力、多力多滋與奇多等知名商品,原本預測今年獲利將有中度增長,如今卻將全年獲利預期下修為與去年持平。該公司報告稱,截至3月22日當季結束,收入下降1.8%至179億美元,及淨收入比去年同期下滑10%至18億美元。

Comments made on PepsiCo’s earnings call echoed what executives at other consumer companies have said in recent days about how apprehension in the global economy was key to consumers spending less. The pullback has started to weigh on some companies’ revenues and dampen their outlook for the coming months.

百事在財報會議中釋出的訊息,與近期其他消費品牌高層的說法一致:全球經濟的不確定性正導致消費者減少支出,進而影響企業營收,並使未來展望變得更加保守。

At Chipotle, same-store sales fell for the first time since 2020 in the most recent quarter, the chain reported this week. Uncertainty about the path forward for the U.S. economy started to affect spending in February, the company said, shortly after President Donald Trump’s inauguration — a trend that continued into this month.

例如,美國墨西哥捲餅連鎖店奇波雷本周表示,該公司在最近一季的同店銷售出現自2020年以來的首次下滑。該公司指出,自2月起,美國經濟的不穩定情勢開始影響消費者消費,這股趨勢一路延續至今。

“It was all around this idea of saving money, economic uncertainty — they’re eating at home more frequently than they’re eating out,” said Scott Boatwright, the burrito chain’s CEO.

奇波雷執行長博特萊特表示:「消費者希望省錢,經濟的不確定性讓他們選擇在家用餐的次數明顯增加,外出消費的意願明顯減少。」

Another signal of distress among shoppers: Consumers are doing less laundry to scale back on detergent purchases, an executive from Procter & Gamble, which makes household staples such as Tide detergent, told Yahoo Finance.

另一個消費者苦惱的信號是:寶僑公司一名高管告訴雅虎財經,消費者洗衣次數減少,也縮減洗衣產品購買量。該公司製造汰漬洗衣產品等家用必需品。

On Thursday, P&G cut its full-year outlook and said whiplash on tariff policy had factored into a “pause” in consumption as consumers tried to make sense of stock market volatility and job market uncertainty, said Andre Schulten, the company’s chief financial officer.

寶僑財務長舒爾頓周四表示,公司在周四下修全年財務預測,並稱隨著消費者試圖理解股市波動和就業市場的不確定性,關稅政策的反覆無常已使消費陷入了「停滯」。

 
Defense Wins Championships. Is That Still True? 防守能拿NBA總冠軍的道理 仍管用?
文/Mike Vorkunov
譯/羅方妤

防守能拿NBA總冠軍的道理 仍管用?

Dallas Mavericks general manager Nico Harrison has come to rely on an old basketball chestnut as a catchall explainer for why he made the now-infamous Luka Dončić trade.

達拉斯獨行俠隊總管哈里森一直仰賴一句籃球老生常談,概括解釋為何他交易陣中球星唐西奇,落得聲名狼藉。

“Defense wins championships,” Harrison said lately. “And we’re going to hang our hat on defense.”

哈里森日前表示:「防守贏得冠軍。我們依靠防守取勝。」

It’s an often-used expression around basketball. But is it right anymore?

這是籃球界常用的說法。但現在還正確嗎?

Over the past 20 NBA seasons, there has been a slight change in the makeup of championship teams. From 2004-05 through 2014-15, eight of the 11 title teams had a defense that was ranked higher than its offense. But since 2015-16, just two of the eight champions have had a higher-ranked defense than offense, with one team finishing fifth in both categories.

在過去20個美國職籃賽季,冠軍球隊的組成出現一些細微的變化。自2004-05賽季至2014-15賽季,11支冠軍隊伍中有8支,其防守排名高於進攻排名。但自2015-16賽季起,8支冠軍隊伍中僅2支防守排名高於進攻,另有1支隊伍防守和進攻均排名第5。

Every title-winning team from 2005 through 2015 had a top-10 defense; the average rank in defensive rating for teams in their winning seasons was 4.5. That has changed slightly over the past decade: The Golden State Warriors won a ring in 2018 with the 11th-best defense, and the Denver Nuggets won two years ago with the No. 15 defense in the league. The average rank in defensive rating for title teams since 2016 was 6.6.

2005至2015年的冠軍隊伍防守排名都位居前10名;在這些球隊的奪冠賽季,防守效率排名平均是4.5名。不過,狀況在過去10年間略有改變:金州勇士在2018年以防守排名第11名奪得總冠軍,丹佛金塊兩年前以防守排名第15名贏得總冠軍。自2016年以來,冠軍隊伍的防守效率平均排名則是第6.6名。

At the same time, having an elite offense has seemed to become more important to winning a title. Out of the past nine champions, only two teams did not have a top-five offense (the 2020 Los Angeles Lakers and the 2022 Warriors). From 2005 to 2015, five of 11 champions had a top-five offense, while seven had a top-five defense. Just four of the past nine champions have had a top-five defense. Even if we expand the focus a little bit, the NBA’s final four teams have had a higher-ranked offense, on average, than defense in five of the past seven seasons.

同時,擁有菁英級別進攻能力對於贏得總冠軍似乎變得更重要。在過去9支冠軍隊伍中,僅2支隊伍進攻排名沒進入前5名,分別是2020年的洛杉磯湖人和2022年的勇士。自2005至2015年,11支冠軍隊伍有5支進攻排名前5名,而有7支隊伍防守排名前5名。 過去9支冠軍隊伍僅4支防守排名前5名。即使我們稍微擴大關注範圍,在過去7個賽季中有5個賽季,美國職籃4支進入決賽的隊伍,平均進攻排名高於防守。

The three leading title favorites this season — the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Boston Celtics and the Cleveland Cavaliers — each features a defense in the top eight, and the Thunder have the most dominant defense the NBA has seen in a long time.

本賽季三大奪冠熱門球隊—奧克拉荷馬雷霆隊、波士頓塞爾蒂克隊和克里夫蘭騎士隊,防守均名列前8,而雷霆的防守長久以來在NBA最具主導性。

But the Thunder, the Celtics and the Cavaliers also own the NBA’s top-three offenses. Only the Sacramento Kings had a top-12 offense this season and did not win at least 48 games. None of the NBA’s 14 worst offenses this season posted a winning record; the Nuggets and Lakers finished with 50 wins and a bottom-14 defense. Last season, every team except for the Atlanta Hawks that finished with an offense in the top 17 won at least 46 games.

但雷霆、塞爾蒂克和騎士也是NBA進攻排名前3名的球隊。只有沙加緬度國王隊本季進攻排名前12名,而贏不到48場。本季14支進攻最差的NBA球隊,沒有一支勝率超過50%;而金塊和湖人本季最終取得50勝,但防守排名位居倒數14名。在上個賽季,除了亞特蘭大老鷹隊,進攻排名前17名的隊伍最終都至少取得46勝。

The reality is that a team usually needs a great offense and a great defense to win a championship, not one or the other.

現實情況是一支隊伍通常攻守兩端都得優異過人,才能贏得總冠軍,缺一不可。

 
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